Monday, December 31, 2012

Why DryShips Kept Sinking in 2012

2012 is nearing its end, and now's a good opportunity to look at what happened throughout the year to the stocks you follow. If you know the important things that a company achieved, as well as any challenges it failed to overcome, then you can make a better decision about whether it really deserves a spot in your portfolio.

Today, let's look at DryShips (NASDAQ: DRYS  ) . The entire shipping industry has fared terribly in recent years, as a glut of shipping vessels following the economic boom of the mid-2000s has sent shipping rates into the bilge tank. But eventually, the global economy has to turn higher. At that point, will DryShips be able to take advantage? Below, you'll find more on what moved shares of DryShips this year.

Stats on DryShips

Year-to-Date Stock Return

(8.5%)

Market Cap

$696 million

Revenue, Past 12 Months

$1.26 billion

Net Loss, Past 12 Months

($124 million)

1-Year Revenue Growth

30.1%

CAPS Rating

***

Source: S&P Capital IQ.

Has DryShips finally hit bottom?
The shipping industry has been stuck in the doldrums for years, as the ever-plunging Baltic Dry Index points to weaker revenue for shippers. Although Safe Bulkers (NYSE: SB  ) and Navios Maritime (NYSE: NM  ) have found ways to remain profitable even in this tough environment, DryShips is just one of many peers that have consistently lost money throughout the multiyear industry crisis.

One thing DryShips got things right, though, was to diversify into drilling rigs. The company's Ocean Rig (NASDAQ: ORIG  ) subsidiary has seen big surges in revenue, taking advantage of the same trends that has made ultra-deepwater competitor Seadrill (NYSE: SDRL  ) a force to be reckoned with in the world's oceans. DryShips has made public offerings of its Ocean Rig interest, but it still holds a majority stake in the drilling rig subsidiary.

In its most recent quarter, DryShips disappointed investors again. Despite posting an 8% rise in revenue, Ocean Rig's business played a substantial role in those gains. Moreover, DryShips still posted a loss of $0.13 per share, much larger than what analysts had expected. With rival Overseas Shipholding Group having gone bankrupt in November, a long-awaited shakeout in the industry may finally push capacity downward enough to lead to a turnaround for those players that survive it.

Until shipments of major cargo items like coal start moving higher again, it'll be tough for DryShips to see a big turnaround. Investors will likely have to remain patient rather than expecting a quick turnaround for DryShips and its peers.�

A better bet for 2013
If DryShips interests you because of its success with Ocean Rig, then you really ought to look into one of the more exciting plays in the space: Seadrill. To learn more about the strengths and weaknesses of this company, as well as what to expect from Seadrill going forward, be sure to check out our brand-new premium report�put together by one of our top Stock Advisor analysts. Click here to�get started.

Click here to add DryShips to My Watchlist, which can find all of our Foolish analysis on it and all your other stocks.

5 Superball Stocks

When stocks fall fast and far, they sometimes set themselves up for remarkable rebounds. The following equities suffered dramatic drops over the past week. With help from the 180,000 members of Motley Fool CAPS, we'll see whether any of them have the potential to bounce back.

It's been a while, but thanks to last week's sell-off, we once again have a chance to stand beneath Mr. Market's silverware drawer in hopes of snagging a bargain. Let's meet today's contenders.

Company How Far Below 52-Week High? Recent Price CAPS Rating
(out of 5)
Emerson Electric (NYSE: EMR  ) (24%) $46.29 *****
Travelzoo (Nasdaq: TZOO  ) (75%) $26.11 **
Vivus (Nasdaq: VVUS  ) (20%) $9.17 **
Clearwire (Nasdaq: CLWR  ) (68%) $1.96 **
Rentech (AMEX: RTK  ) (30%) $1.39 **

Companies are selected by screening on finviz.com for abrupt 5% or greater price drops over the past week. Recent price data and 52-week highs provided by finviz.com. CAPS ratings from Motley Fool CAPS.

Five super falls -- one superball
The Santa Claus rally was in full effect last week, as the Dow tacked on more than 3.6%. Yet despite widespread optimism, investors in hundreds of individual stocks found their stockings loaded with coal. So what went wrong?

At Rentech, the sell-off that began two weeks ago with an earnings disappointment continues. The fertilizer maker and alternative-energy concern tells investors that after a "transformative" year in 2011, 2012 is bound to be better. But few investors are buying that promise ... or the stock.

Clearwire's not doing much better. After AT&T (NYSE: T  ) dropped its bid for T-Mobile, Clearwire stock enjoyed a brief pop. Investment banker Jefferies started covering the stock with a buy recommendation on this news, but just as the momentum was getting going, out came JPMorgan with a warning: Q4 profit margins will be weak, and Clearwire will miss analysts' quarterly subscriptions target. Result: Clearwire lost 6% for the week.

Meanwhile, Vivus got some disturbing news from the FDA concerning its Qnexa drug. And Travelzoo had no news of any sort to report -- but dropped anyway. A fitting end to a lousy year for the stock. Will it bounce back? Indeed, will any of these stocks have a better time of things in 2012 than they did in 2011?

Not according to our CAPS Community, which on balance gives all four of these names subpar marks and two-star CAPS ratings. As it turns out, there's only one stock on today's list that our investors think is poised to outperform the market in the coming year. Strangely, it's the most expensive stock on the list.

The bull case for Emerson Electric
CAPS member jareda calls Emerson "a global leader in innovative technologies that [helps] companies reduce power consumption and increase energy efficiency (reduce energy costs)" and adds that "Emerson's technologies will remain in high demand as the energy costs continue to rise."

Meanwhile, CAPS member Joulesh praises the company's "great ROE, nice growth in earnings, low P/E and GREAT CEO."

And to top it all off, alan5757 reminds us that this cheap, high quality, well-led company also pays its shareholders a "nice dividend" to own it.

It's hard to overstate the importance of that dividend. In a sideways market like the one we're currently living through, there aren't a lot of people getting rich off capital gains. Instead, what profits investors are earning, they're earning from the dividend checks they collect.

Foolish final thought
One last thing worth mentioning: At 14 times earnings, and with long-term growth rates of just over 13%, Emerson's stock looks only "fairly valued" from a PEG perspective. Add the stock's 3.4% dividend yield, and Emerson starts to look cheap. Maybe not as cheap as General Electric (NYSE: GE  ) -- a competitor that sells for a slightly lower P/E, boasts a slightly higher growth rate, and pays a slightly higher dividend. But still, the difference between the two valuations here is ... what's the word? Ah, yes: "slight."

So while I still give the advantage to GE (and have backed that up with a public recommendation in CAPS), I think Emerson Electric is nearly as good, as well as another fine candidate for your portfolio.

Meanwhile, the Fool's all-star analysts think they've found a stock that can do better than either GE or Emerson. Find out which company our experts prefer in our new free report: "The Motley Fool's Top Stock for 2012." Thousands have already requested access and it'll only be available for a limited time. Best of all, it's free.

Garmin COO to Become CEO

Garmin (NASDAQ: GRMN  ) announced today that current President and Chief Operating Officer Clifton Pemble will succeed Garmin founder Dr. Min Kao as president and CEO. The appointment of Pemble as Garmin CEO becomes effective Jan. 1.

Kao, a co-founder of Garmin, will remain with the company as executive chairman. In this new role, Kao is expected to provide strategic guidance and business development support to the satellite navigation company.

Pemble joined Garmin in 1989, shortly after Garmin was founded, as one of its first engineers. He has been serving as president and COO since October 2007. According to Kao, "One indicator of an enduring company is the strength of its succession plan." Kao added, "Cliff has been instrumental in establishing Garmin as a global leader in every market we serve."

link

Social Security is designed to be fair, but it plays favorites. A savvy retiree can maximize benefits by choosing to begin payments at just the right time. Most choose wrong, whether from necessity or because they don't understand the system, a new study suggests.

Also See
  • Living to 100? That Will Be $3.5 Million
  • The Cost of Living Longer -- Much Longer

Eligible Americans who turn 62 this year must wait until age 66 to begin receiving full payments. But they can receive smaller payments beginning as soon as age 62, or plus-size payments beginning as late as age 70.

(There are some restrictions for those who continue to work, depending on income. See "How Work Affects Your Benefits," published by the Social Security Administration.)

Monthly payments are 76% greater for a retiree who waits until age 70 than for one who begins collecting at 62, adjusted for inflation. That type of arrangement, where a person forfeits money today in exchange for receiving a larger stream of payments in the future, has a name in the investment world. It's called an annuity.

 How to Outsmart Social Security4:19

Social Security is designed to be fair, but it plays favorites. A savvy retiree can maximize benefits by choosing to begin payments at just the right time. But as Jack Hough explains on The News Hub, most choose wrong. Photo: AP

But Social Security isn't nearly as sophisticated in its pricing as the annuities offered by private companies. The latter adjust payments according to changes in interest rates to keep the benefits of waiting fairly stable, but Social Security ignores interest rates.

Annuity issuers have paid careful attention to rising life expectancies, because they increase the cost of providing lifetime payments. Social Security has made only minor adjustments to retirement ages.

Some annuities even take individual differences in life expectancies into account. Social Security treats all comers equally.

The goal of retirees should be to collect the largest possible "present value" of payments. That's not simply the value of projected future payments added together. It's the value of these payments, with each one reduced by a "discount rate," or a theoretical return that the recipient misses out on by not having the money today.

A new working paper offers guidance on how to maximize this present value of benefits, depending on the circumstance. The authors, economists John Shoven at Stanford University and Sita Nataraj Slavov at Occidental College, received a grant from the Social Security Administration for their research, but say their opinions are their own.

Shoven and Slavov based their study on Americans who turn 62 this year. Women in this group are expected to live to age 85.5 and men, 83.0. The authors consider varying marital and income statuses and interest rates.

In general, gains from delaying Social Security payments are greater during periods of low interest rates, all else held equal. They're also greater "for married couples relative to singles, for single women relative to single men, and (at most interest rates) for two-earner couples relative to one-earner couples," according to the study.

One overriding finding is that most retirees are best off waiting when "real" interest rates are below 3.5% -- in other words, when savers can safely earn no more than that amount after inflation. At the moment, real interest rates are zero, or less: Treasury bonds that adjust for inflation and have maturities of five to 10 years carry slightly negative yields.

Also See
  • Living to 100? That Will Be $3.5 Million
  • The Cost of Living Longer -- Much Longer

In other words, most retirees who don't need the money and aren't sure what to do should probably wait to begin receiving payments.

Single women maximize the present value of their benefits by waiting until age 70, so long as real interest rates are below 0.8%. But even when real rates are zero (which they are), single men should wait until only 69, because of their shorter life expectancies.

At most, women can increase the present value of their benefits by 18.3% by choosing the right starting point and men by 13.3%.

Oddly enough, singles who need the money earlier should generally avoid starting payments at either age 63 or 66, the authors point out. That's because the benefits of waiting rise unevenly with age, and dimples in the data at these two ages suggest neither will maximize benefits.

For couples, each spouse must choose when to start payments, which adds complexity. Even if one spouse has never worked, he or she may be eligible for spousal benefits of up to half the "primary insurance amount" (benefit at full retirement age, generally) of the spouse who worked. If both spouses worked, the lower earner can collect worker benefits, and perhaps even a spousal benefit to bring them up to half the high-earner's PIA.

Here's when couples should collect, according to Shoven and Slavov: For one-earner couples, the earner should wait until 70 whenever real interest rates are below 2.5% (now), and not wait at all when they're above 5.3%. Assuming the earner waits until 70, the non-earner should begin payments at 66.

For two-earner couples, the difference in income matters. Suppose benefits for the low earner would be 75% of those for the higher earner at full retirement age (66 for the study group). At real interest rates of 0.6% and lower (now), both should generally wait until 70 to collect worker benefits, and the low earner should collect spousal benefits at age 66.

If all of this seems menacingly complex, it's because it is. And most retirees don't seem to maximize the present value of their benefits. Shoven and Slavov find that for groups born 73 to 82 years ago (for whom the benefits of delaying payments were significant, if not quite as large as now), about 43% filed for payments within two months of reaching age 62. For those who weren't working by 62, more than 75% were immediate filers. The authors found no consistent relationship between early filing and health status.

More-educated retirees tended to delay payments for longer, but that's not necessarily because they understood the benefits of waiting. They tend to be wealthier and were thus less likely to need the cash early.

Of course, projections on how to maximize Social Security benefits depend on the ability of the trust fund to continue making payments. With no changes to the current system, trustees say they will have enough cash to pay full scheduled benefits through 2036, followed by three-quarters of scheduled benefits through 2085. If they're right, those turning 62 this decade should stick with the study advice.

Corrections & Amplifications An earlier version of this story misstated the limits for spousal benefits in cases where both spouses have worked.

Top Stocks For 3/28/2012-19

Dr Stock Pick HOT News & Alerts!

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Friday October 30, 2009

DrStockPick.com Stock Report!

Cavitation Technologies, Inc. (OTC Bulletin Board: CVAT) announced a 3-for-1 forward stock split effective at the market open Thursday, October 29th. CTI is a world leader in the development of technologies that represent a quantum leap over existing processing methods for a wide variety of applications and industries. Positioned to provide licensing and sales of its technology which can be applied to virtually every industrial fluid that requires complex molecular bonding, including large-scale water purification, removing impurities from agricultural based oils, biodiesel production, instant aging effects for alcoholic spirits, increased extraction of end product in crude oil refining, blending of bio-fuels as well as production of hydro-fuel (up to 15% water content yielding more efficient and cleaner burning) and much more.

The Arch Chemicals, Inc. Board of Directors on October 30, 2009 declared a quarterly dividend of 20-cents on each share of Arch Chemicals (NYSE:ARJ) common stock. The dividend is payable on December 15, 2009 to shareholders of record at the close of business on November 13, 2009.

C&F Financial Corporation (Nasdaq: CFFI), the one-bank holding company for C&F Bank, today reported net income of $1.66 million for the third quarter of 2009, compared with $299,000 for the third quarter of 2008 ($1.82 million, adjusted to exclude the impairment charge taken in the third quarter of 2008 related to the corporation’s investments in perpetual preferred stock of the Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac)). Net income available to common shareholders for the third quarter of 2009 was $1.37 million, or 45 cents per common share assuming dilution, compared with $299,000, or 10 cents per common share assuming dilution, ($1.82 million, or 60 cents per common share assuming dilution, adjusted to exclude the effect of the impairment charge) for the third quarter of 2008.

AirTran Airways, a subsidiary of AirTran Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: AAI), announced today that it will be offering buy one, get one free in-flight, Wi-Fi sessions on any of its more than 700 daily flights through the end of the year.

First Keystone Corporation (OTC BB:FKYS), parent company of First Keystone National Bank, reported net income of $2,086,000 for the quarter ending September 30, 2009, as compared to $2,227,000 for the third quarter of 2008. Earnings per share for the quarter ending September 30, 2009 were $.39, as compared to $.41 per share earned in the third quarter of 2008. For the nine months ending September 30, 2009, net income was $6,351,000 as compared to $5,835,000 for the first nine months of 2008, an increase of 8.8%. Earnings per share were $1.17 for the first nine months of 2009, up 9.4% from the $1.07 reported in the first nine months of 2008. The annualized return on assets and return on equity were 1.15% and 11.97%, respectively for the nine months ending September 30, 2009.

The Laclede Group, Inc. (NYSE: LG) reported today its seventh consecutive fiscal year of record earnings for fiscal 2009, which ended September 30, excluding the fiscal 2008 operating results and net gain on the sale of SM&P Utility Resources.

Coca-Cola Beats on EPS but GAAP Results Lag

Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO  ) reported earnings on Feb. 7. Here are the numbers you need to know.

The 10-second takeaway
For the quarter ended Dec. 31 (Q4), Coca-Cola met expectations on revenues and beat expectations on earnings per share.

Compared to the prior-year quarter, revenue expanded and GAAP earnings per share shrank significantly.

Gross margins grew, operating margins increased, and net margins dropped.

Revenue details
Coca-Cola reported revenue of $11.04 billion. The 10 analysts polled by S&P Capital IQ predicted revenue of $11.01 billion. Sales were 5.2% higher than the prior-year quarter's $10.49 billion.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions.

EPS details
Non-GAAP EPS came in at $0.79. The 14 earnings estimates compiled by S&P Capital IQ averaged $0.78 per share on the same basis. GAAP EPS of $0.72 for Q4 were 71% lower than the prior-year quarter's $2.46 per share.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Figures may be non-GAAP to maintain comparability with estimates.

Margin details
For the quarter, gross margin was 60.1%, 90 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 17.7%, 390 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 15.0%, 4,000 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead
Next quarter's average estimate for revenue is $10.95 billion. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $0.91.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a five-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 6,049 members out of 6,357 rating the stock outperform, and 308 members rating it underperform. Among 1,758 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 1,709 give Coca-Cola a green thumbs-up, and 49 give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average price target is $74.10.

Can your portfolio provide you with enough income to last through retirement? You'll need more than Coca-Cola. Learn how to maximize your investment income and "Secure Your Future With 11 Rock-Solid Dividend Stocks." Click here for instant access to this free report.

  • Add Coca-Cola to My Watchlist.

Why Winning the Lotto is a Bad Way to Get Rich

I have worked a part time job in a local newsagency selling lotto tickets for over 3 years and I have seen thousands of people pour their money into lotto in the hopes that their number will come up and that they will be set for the rest of your life. I have observed these people and I have also studied with some of the richest men in America and I can tell you now that even if you luck it and you win the lotto that winning the lotto is one of the worst ways to get rich. I am going to explain to you why winning the lotto is a bad way to get rich and why you should learn to invest your money instead of simply gambling it away.

You Are Trying To Beat The System
Firstly, by trying to beat the lotto you are trying to beat a system that is designed for you to lose. Lotto only pays out half of the money that is put into it and the odds of winning vs. the cost of playing is outrageous. Winning the lotto is like trying to make 1+1= 3.

You Need To Know How To Invest Money
A lot of people who have won the lotto have ended up worse off in the years that follow. This is because they don’t know how to invest. Instead of investing their money wisely they buy things that increase their expenses. Expensive cars increase your expenses through excessive insurance fees. It is better to learn how to invest than to win a lot of money but not know how to invest it and end up worse off than before you won the lotto.

You Don’t Learn How To Become Rich
Even if you do strike it lucky this is the main reason that winning the lotto is a bad way to become rich. I don’t play the lotto because I want to learn how to become rich. Because if you can learn how to become rich then you can repeat it time and time again. But if you win the lotto you can’t repeat it time and time again because it is extremely difficult to win in a game that is designed for you to lose.

Your financial intelligence is your number one asset. It is not money that makes you rich, but what you do with your money that makes you rich. By winning the lotto you don’t learn how to invest, or how to make your money work for you. This means it is likely you will get poorer over time instead of richer.

You Can’t Get It Back If You Lose It
Because you have just come into a lump sum of money by chance you have never learnt how to earn and invest money in order to become rich. So if by some unfortunate circumstance (stock crash, theft, bad business venture) you lose all of your money then you will not be able to get it back easily. But if you decide to learn how to become rich then if you lose your money you can make it back quicker and easier than before.

You Have Nothing To Pass On
Wealth is not always the best thing to pass on to your children. They say by the third generation the wealth is gone. Financially intelligence is a much better gift you can give your children. Because then, no matter what life brings, they will be able to accumulate large sums of wealth. So why waste you time and money playing the lotto when you could learn to become rich and guarantee your success. Instead of trusting your lucky numbers trust yourself and begin to learn the intelligence you need to become wealthy.

Join the thousands of people already learning how to become rich WITHOUT making any more money. You can learn how to become rich without any costs for training. Go to http://www.richacademy.com and sign up to start your free training today.

S&P’s Biggest Gain in 3 Weeks; Homebuilders Rise

Robbie Whelan/WSJToday was a good day

Shares of the Standard & Poor’s 500 index (SPY) closed up 1.2% Monday, the first time the index saw a move of 1% or more since Nov. 23. The closing value of 1,430.36 is the highest since Oct. 22. The S&P 500 is now up almost 14% this year.

It was good day to own homebuilders stock, with PulteGroup (PHM) and D.R. Horton (DHI) both up more than 5% today, and Lennar Corp. (LEN) closing up 4%. Shares of home improvement chain Lowe’s (LOW) were also up 4%.

General Electric (GE) is “on the verge of agreeing to a deal to buy Italian aerospace group Avio SpA for as much as $ billion,” says The Wall Street Journal. GE stock closed up 1.4% today.

And finally, here’s a list of the worst CEOs of 2012 — good stuff, though quite how Chesapeake Energy’s Aubrey McClendon isn’t #1 is beyond me.

Salesforce.com: Caris, Weisel Raise Targets; Bullish On Chatter

Salesforce.com (CRM) this morning was the the subject of a flurry of upbeat analyst notes after the company officially launched Chatter, its social networking software for the enterprise, as its Cloudforce 2010 trade show yesterday. In particular, two analysts raised targets on the stock:

  • Caris & Co. analyst Curtis Shauger this morning repeated his Buy rating on the shares, while lifting his price target to $115, from $100. “We attended Cloudforce 2010 yesterday and came away incrementally more bullish on CRM�s near and long term prospects,” he writes. “Near term, Salesforce.com stands to benefit from Chatter, its enterprise collaboration offering, which it launched at the event. Not only does this incrementally add to CRM�s addressable market, we believe its ‘enterprise-wide’ nature provides a critical underpinning for its broader, longer term platform strategy. On this front, not only did the company introduce a standalone offering, but also spent significant time with its growing base of ISV partners, which we believe to be the foundation of a burgeoning ecosystem.”
  • Thomas Weisel Partners analyst Tom Roderick likewise repeated his Overweight rating on the shares, lifting his price target to $95, from $80. He writes in a research note that the company is seeing “strong enterprise momentum” which will be “further fueled by the crossover capabilities of Chatter and other products outside the core” sales-force automation realm. While conceding that the stock is not cheap, he contends that “CRM is viewed as the premium growth name in software that is worthy of stratospheric valuations.” And he adds that “as long as our checks confirm accelerating trends in the business, we intend to remain constructive on the stock.”

CRM is up 21 cents, or 0.2%, to $92.11.

Terms To Compare Spread Betting Markets

Financial spread betting is a way of trading in which you deal with financial instruments without holding them directly. It is in a way, a leveraged investment which allows spread bettors to take a stance on the prices offered by the provider and predict the movements in the coming time. You can take long and short positions on in a wide variety of financial markets including stock, commodities, fixed income products and currencies.

Indices

Unlike in stock trading where traders buy or sell stock of individual companies is usually done on indices more often compared to individual shares. Indices of markers are amongst the most traded instruments in financial and are also supposedly the best option for new traders looking to get a hang.

Currencies

Spread betting is also done on currency fluctuations. Individual spread bettors specialise in currency pairs and in foreign exchange markets. The risk is slightly higher because magnifies winnings and losses and forex markets by nature are far more volatile because of the wide variety of factors that can influence currencies.

Bonds and interest rates

Fixed income products like bonds along with various types of interest rates are also used in spread betting. However, these are more for the seasoned bettors and the novice traders usually don’t enter these markets.

Commodities

Spread betting initially started with bettors trading in gold. Now a wide range of other commodities, oil etc. also offer great opportunities for the bettors to try their luck out.

Spread betting as a tool

A lot of spread bettors use like a tool especially when they have a share portfolio. So the risks taken through involves hedging the existing share prices. If the share values are decreasing then you could bet against the share prices and make up for the loss.

Comparing spread betting strategies

Often the strategy that works for one spread bettor doesn’t work for another. So you will have to choose the right strategy that suits your style. For example, some spread bettors are risk averse and hence go for scalping which involves making small Financial Spread Betting and quick gains all through the day instead of high risk positions over weeks where funding itself could become very expensive.

Other spread bettors follow strategies such as following market trends or reversals wherein they are waiting for a particular event or indicator and take a quick position before the rest of the investors move in thereby leading the position and making a profit before the price adjustments take place.

Some spread bettors go for break out strategies where they are looking for indicators for a bullish or bearish market. This is when the prices are over their upper limits or below their lower limits over successive days. Spread bettors use this strategy along with stop loss to ensure that they don’t lose when the prices go above or below a certain limit against their predictions. Therefore, spread bettors have to compare and choose their markets as well as their strategies.

For more tips and compare spread betting of various spread betting providers and markets, you can visit spreadcompare.co.uk

Might Be A Great Time To Be A Bond Bear

First let�s make sure we understand the basics of bonds.

Bonds are a form of debt. When a company or a government needs to borrow money it can borrow from banks and pay interest on the loan, or it can borrow from investors by issuing bonds and paying interest on the bonds.

One advantage of bonds to the borrower is that a bank will usually require payments on the principal of the loan in addition to the interest, so that the loan gradually gets paid off. Bonds allow the borrower to only pay the interest while having the use of the entire amount of the loan until the bond matures in 20 or 30 years (when the entire amount must be returned at maturity).

Two main factors determine the interest rate the bonds will yield.

If demand for the bonds is high, issuers will not have to pay as high a yield to entice enough investors to buy the offering. If demand is low they will have to pay higher yields to attract investors.

The other influence on yields is risk. Just as a poor credit risk has to pay banks a higher interest rate on loans, so a company or government that is a poor credit risk has to pay a higher yield on its bonds in order to entice investors to buy them.

A factor that surveys show many investors do not understand, is that bond prices move opposite to their yields. That is, when yields rise the price or value of bonds declines, and in the other direction, when yields are falling, bond prices rise.

Why is that?

Consider an investor owning a 30-year bond bought several years ago when bonds were paying 6% yields. He wants to sell the bond rather than hold it to maturity. Say that yields on new bonds have fallen to 3%. Investors would obviously be willing to pay considerably more for his bond than for a new bond issue in order to get the higher interest rate.

So as yields for new bonds decline the prices of existing bonds go up. In the other direction, bonds bought when their yields are low will see their value in the market decline if yields begin to rise, because investors will pay less for them than for the new bonds that will give them a higher yield.

Johnson Controls Up 3.5% on Better Outlook

Here’s something of a virtuous cycle in action: yesterday we saw that Goldman Sachs was rating Sirius XM (SIRI) stock as a Buy, in part because of the improving state of the auto industry; today, Johnson Controls (JCI) upped its fiscal year outlook largely for the same reason, and its stock is bouncing up as a result.

Johnson Controls said ahead of its investor meeting that it expects fiscal year 2013 sales and profit to both be about 4% better than 2012, thanks in part to higher auto production in the U.S. and China. That would mean its results will be better than Wall Street expectations. (Perhaps worth noting is the firm’s comments about lower auto production in Europe.)

The stock, which 18 months ago traded in the high $30/low $40 range, is currently a consensus Buy among analysts, according to FactSet, though today’s 3.5% move, to about $30.20, takes it close to its consensus target price of $30.41.

 

Citigroup Q1 EPS Beats; Tangible Book $4.09

Shares of Citigroup (C) are the stand-out gainer this morning in the wake of Goldman Sachs’s (GS) Friday blow-up, currently rising 3 cents, or 0.7%, at $4.59, after the bank reported a Q1 profit of 15 cents, where analysts were expecting it merely to break even. Revenue rose to $25.4 billion, well ahead of the $20.8 billion expected.

Revenue was up 42% from Q4, Citigroup said. Net income was the highest since Q3 of 2007, the bank said, and loan loss provisions fell to $2.4 billion, down 22% from Q4, or $8.6 billion, and the lowest level since Q1 2008.

Revenue was up in most of the major lines of business, with regional consumer banking revenue up 3% from Q4, at $8.1 billion; securities and banking more than doubled form Q4 to $8 billion, or almost 50% after stripping out credit value adjustments from derivatives; transaction services revenue was down 2% from Q4 at $2.4 billion absent the proceeds in Q4 of the sale of NikkoCiti.

The firm ended the quarter with assets of $2 trillion, up 8% sequentially, and a Tier 1 capital ratio of 11.2% and Tier 1 common ratio of 9.1%. Book value per share was $5.28, down from $5.35 in the prior quarter, while tangible book value was $4.09, down from $4.15.

Merrill Lynch Vice Chair: Global Oil Production Unlikely to Meet Demand

By Charles C. Henneman

At the Second Annual CFA Institute Middle East Investment Conference in Abu Dhabi today, Thomas A. Petrie, CFA, Vice Chairman at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, outlined four key factors that will contribute to a likely increase in global oil demand, which he sees rising to approximately 95 million barrels per day (BBD) by 2015, up from approximately 86 million BBD today.

Population growth, economic expansion, changes in consumption patterns, and efficiency trends, Petrie said, will all impact oil demand in various ways.

Petrie explained that increasing energy efficiency trends combined with decreasing population growth in Japan and Europe will likely lead to annual demand contraction of 1.4 million BPD in OECD countries over the next five years. These trends, however, will only partially offset the impact of economic growth in BRIC countries — Brazil, Russia, India and China — and changes in consumption patterns that have already increased automobile sales in China beyond auto sales in North America and Europe. Growth in the Chinese car market alone will increase oil demand.

In non-OECD countries, Petrie estimates that the thirst for oil will approach 50 million BPD by 2015.

Petrie noted that it was unlikely that global production would increase sufficiently to meet growing demand, citing broad constraints imposed by policy makers — primarily due to environmental concerns — on developing existing potential projects. As a result, Petrie said, increasing prices will serve to ration demand.

Sunday, December 30, 2012

Akamai Jumps 8% on Q4 Beat, Names New CFO

Shares of content networking pioneer Akamai Technology (AKAM) are up $3.00, almost 9%, at $37.44 in late trading after the company this afternoon reported Q4 revenue and profit per share ahead of analysts’ expectations, and said it named a new chief financial officer.

Revenue in the three months ended in December rose to $324 million, yielding EPS of 45 cents.

Analysts had been expecting $311.9 million in revenue and 40 cents a share.

The company appointed James Benson, a former CFO for Hewlett-Packard‘s (HPQ) Americas business, as its new chief financial officer, it said.

Akamai will host a conference call with analysts at 4:30 pm, Eastern time, and you can catch the webcast of it here.

5-Star Stocks Poised to Pop: Statoil

Based on the aggregated intelligence of 180,000-plus investors participating in Motley Fool CAPS, the Fool's free investing community, Norwegian oil giant Statoil (NYSE: STO  ) has earned a coveted five-star ranking.

With that in mind, let's take a closer look at Statoil's business and see what CAPS investors are saying about the stock right now.

Statoil facts

Headquarters (founded) Stavanger, Norway (1972)
Market Cap $79.6 billion
Industry Integrated oil and gas
Trailing-12-Month Revenue $106.9 billion
Management CEO Helge Lund (since August 2004)
CFO Torgrim Reitan (since January 2011)
Return on Equity (average, past 3 years) 16.8%
Cash/Debt $16.6 billion / $20.8 billion
Dividend Yield 4.2%

Sources: S&P Capital IQ and Motley Fool CAPS.

On CAPS, 98% of the 1,090 members who have rated Statoil believe the stock will outperform the S&P 500 going forward. These bulls include jdill23 and fellow Fool Aimee Duffy (TMFAimeeD).

Just last month, jdill23 tapped Statoil as a particularly timely opportunity: "made several key acquisitions lately ... P/E at a good level."

In fact, Statoil currently sports a cheapish P/E of 7.4. That represents a slight discount to other big oil plays such as ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP  ) (9.0), ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM  ) (9.7), and PetroChina (NYSE: PTR  ) (9.8).

TMFAimeeD elaborates on the bull case:

Statoil has proved to be forward thinking, which is something I demand out of a long term investment. The company purchased U.S. shale oil and gas producer Brigham Exploration this year, targeting the American energy boom to add depth to its global operations.

For diversity, the company is engaged in a project with the Department of Energy to develop floating wind turbines off the coast of Maine. The company already has a prototype in operation off the coast of Norway.

Finally, closer to its traditional operations, Statoil also recently discovered one of the largest reserves in the North Sea, estimated to contain 900 million to 1.5 billion barrels of oil equivalent. I believe the future is bright for the Norwegian company.

What do you think about Statoil, or any other stock for that matter? If you want to retire rich, you need to put together the best portfolio you can. Owning exceptional stocks is a surefire way to secure your financial future, and on Motley Fool CAPS, thousands of investors are working every day to find them. CAPS is 100% free, so get started!

Want to see how well (or not so well) the stocks in this series are performing? Follow the new TrackPoisedTo CAPS account.

Berkshire Hathaway — A Big-Time Buy

How does one actually write in detail about the greatest public company ever? I believe the only way to truly cover Warren Buffet’s Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.A) would be in a series of very long articles. We can’t accomplish that, but what we can do is offer a few words about why Berkshire should be a core holding for any portfolio.

Berkshire primarily is driven by its insurance business. It handles auto insurance via GEICO, reinsurance under General Re, and offers government bond insurance, as well. There’s a reason why Berkshire is all about insurance. It’s because insurance is a great business, and unless there are numerous catastrophes in succession — a highly unlikely event — then over time an insurance business is going to take in a lot more in premium payments than it pays out in claims.

Berkshire owns 80% of a massive utility and energy company; tons of apparel companies; numerous building products businesses; private-jet financing operations; manufacturing companies; jewelry operations; home and business furnishing operations; candy, snack, and drink businesses; and equipment leasing companies. And it owns shares in public companies such as American Express (NYSE: AXP), Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO), Kraft Foods (NYSE:KFT) and Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC).

By now you should notice that Berkshire Hathaway is all about diversification. The company doesn’t do just one thing. This means that no matter how one or two individual sectors might be faring, Berkshire is diversified enough that it will always make money from one year to the next, even if none of these businesses are high-growth stories.

Indeed, stock analysts looking out five years on Berkshire see annualized earnings growth at 7%, which includes a 4% drop this year and a 25% pop next year. At a stock price of $107,000 on FY 2011 earnings of $6,900 per share, the stock presently trades at a P/E of 15.5. There are no competitors that truly compare to Berkshire.

The company carries $1.16 billion in cash, and $1.4 billion in debt at an interest rate of about 9%. Trailing 12-month cash flow was $445 million, so the debt service is no problem. However, there’s more to this story. For starters, Berkshire always keeps about $20 billion in cash on hand to pay out insurance claims. Depending on how aggressively one wants to discount that cash horde into the valuation, you arguably could place Berkshire’s current P/E as low as 4 or 5. For a business that is projected to grow 7% annually, the company potentially is undervalued by as much as 40%. There’s also an argument that the company is deserving of a premium multiple, suggesting even greater undervaluation.

Conclusion

Berkshire is 25% off its all-time high and arguably undervalued. This seems like a great time to jump in. Can’t afford $107,000 per share? No problem. Berkshire has Class B shares (NYSE:BRK.B) that trade at $71.55 per share.

I believe Berkshire is a buy for regular accounts and a buy for retirement accounts.

Lawrence Meyers owns shares of Berkshire Class B.

Top Stocks For 2012-1-5-18

 

Polycom’s Legendary SoundStation(R) Line Extended With New Dual-Mode Conference Phone That Future-Proofs Migration to VoIP

PLEASANTON, CA–(CRWENEWSWIRE -10/04/11)- Polycom, Inc. (NASDAQ:PLCM), the global leader in standards-based unified communications (UC), today unveiled a new conference phone that works with both analog networks and Voice over IP (VoIP) environments.

Polycom(R) SoundStation Duo� addresses a growing demand among organizations of all sizes that need to upgrade or expand their existing circuit-switched networks, but are hesitant to purchase phones that will become obsolete once they move to VoIP. Paul Waadevg, principal consultant at Frost & Sullivan said, “The analog to IP transition is progressing as expected. IP systems accounted for 79.5 percent of 2010 market revenues and the share of analog revenue is expected to shrink to less than 7 percent at the end of 2017.”

Designed for use in small to midsize meeting rooms of up to 400 square feet, Polycom SoundStation Duo is the industry’s most versatile conference phone, delivering an array of benefits including:

Built-in investment protection. Companies can use SoundStation Duo in analog or VoIP mode, and keep it up-to-date with simple online software upgrades.
Business continuity. In case of a VoIP network failure, the phone automatically switches to analog mode when connected to an analog line, and resumes VoIP mode when the connection is reactivated.
Robust interoperability. The phone supports multiple VoIP call platforms to maximize voice quality and feature availability, allowing for easy connectivity to other UC devices.
Simple set up and administration. A new web configuration tool makes the phone easy to set up without the assistance of an IT resource. The tool is shared across the entire Polycom VoIP product line, which simplifies the job of managing and configuring all of an organization’s Polycom VoIP phones.
Ease of use. With its straightforward, proven user interface, SoundStation Duo maintains Polycom’s reputation for delivering phones that work the way people expect them to.
Flexibility. Users can connect to mobile phones, tablets and desktop PCs with Polycom(R) RealPresence� software.

“The Polycom SoundStation Duo is the one conference phone that can address present and future call needs without asking us to make a single sacrifice in call quality, features, administration or ease of use,” said Hidetaka Oki, manager of the UNIVERGE Support Center at NEC Corporation, Japan. “As we transition to IP features and quality in every meeting room, this future-proof choice for a conference phone is the ideal solution for us to deploy at sites that have both legacy analog as well as IP network environments.”

The Industry’s Most Advanced IP Endpoint Software

SoundStation Duo is built around Polycom’s legendary performance and design, incorporating proven innovations that have made Polycom conference phones the industry standard for clear, productive conference calls, and are a fixture in meeting rooms worldwide. The new phone uses Polycom’s advanced VoIP endpoint software to enable superior call handling, security and provisioning. Three microphones allow for 360-degree voice pick-up from as far as 10 feet away, and connect with other VoIP phones via Polycom(R) HD Voice� for more natural and vibrant conversations. And with other features such as Polycom(R) Acoustic Clarity� that provides the latest in echo cancellation and resistance to mobile phone and wireless device interference, the SoundStation Duo conference phone delivers unrivaled group conferencing experiences without distractions.

“Polycom SoundStation Duo offers unparalleled investment protection for organizations trying to straddle the demands of their current analog network versus the near-term prospects of having to invest in VoIP equipment,” said Cullen Childress, vice president of Product Management at Polycom. “And with our new web configuration tool, we’re making it easier than ever for an organization to administer its Polycom IP phones. This is great news for those small- to medium-sized businesses that have the desire to join enterprises in the VoIP migration but that lack the budget for dedicated IT resources. Now the industry has a conference phone built for today and outfitted for tomorrow.”

Pricing & Availability

The Polycom SoundStation Duo conference phone is available today in select countries worldwide through certified Polycom reseller partners at US$849.

Demonstrations at Interop New York 2011

Polycom is demonstrating the new Polycom SoundStation Duo conference phone this week in Booth 249 at Interop New York 2011 in the Javits Center.

About Polycom
Polycom is the global leader in standards-based unified communications (UC) solutions for telepresence, video, and voice powered by the Polycom RealPresence Platform. The RealPresence Platform interoperates with the broadest range of business, mobile, and social applications and devices. More than 400,000 organizations trust Polycom solutions to collaborate and meet face-to-face from any location for more productive and effective engagement with colleagues, partners, customers, and prospects. Polycom, together with its broad partner ecosystem, provides customers with the best TCO, scalability, and security — on-premises, hosted, or cloud delivered. Visit www.polycom.com or connect with Polycom on Twitter, Facebook, and LinkedIn.

NOTE: The product plans, specifications, and descriptions herein are provided for information only and subject to change without notice, and are provided without warranty of any kind, express or implied. Polycom reserves the right to modify future product plans at any time. Products and related specifications referenced herein are not guaranteed and will be delivered on a when and if available basis.

� 2011 Polycom, Inc. All rights reserved. POLYCOM(R), the Polycom “Triangles” logo and the names and marks associated with Polycom’s products are trademarks and/or service marks of Polycom, Inc. and are registered and/or common law marks in the United States and various other countries. All other trademarks are property of their respective owners.

Source: Polycom, Inc.

Contact:

Brianna Woon
Polycom, Inc.
+1.925.924.5659
brianna.woon@polycom.com

THIS IS NOT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY SECURITY!

Don’t Face this Market Alone!

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Saturday, December 29, 2012

Avon Shares Are Grossly Oversold

By Joseph Hogue, CFA

Avon (AVP) recently released its third quarter results on October 27th. Earnings per share of $0.38 missed the consensus estimate of $0.46 per share. The company withdrew its yearly guidance and said it was reviewing its operations. Though management is seen as fairly weak and restructuring efforts are not moving quickly, the real impetus to the day’s 18% stock decline was the announcement that the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) was investigating the company under the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA) and for its communications with analysts.

Even if the recent price action does not attract a buyer, as suggested in a recent Bloomberg article, strong fundamentals and an impressive share in emerging markets should help the company meet revenue targets. The most constructive support for the shares lies in a study of settlements to the FCPA and possible outcomes for the company.

Fundamentals

The company has approximately 430.8 million shares outstanding with a market capitalization of $7.98 billion. After the mayhem on October 27th, Avon trades for a price to earnings ratio of 10.0 times its annualized average earnings per share of $1.84 over the last eight quarters. Despite weak management and problems relating to the SEC investigation, analysts surveyed by E*Trade have a consensus estimate for earnings of $1.80 per share over the next four quarters.

The company’s current ratio, a key measure of solvency, is 1.44 times. This, combined with $988 million in cash on its balance sheet, means that the company should be able to meet any short-term liabilities including settlement decisions. The stock pays a very strong dividend yield of 5.0%, or $0.92 per share. Investors should not make their decision based solely on the dividend yield as the current payout represents a cash outflow of $398 million per year and may need to be reduced in the event of a large settlement.

Strong Growth in Emerging Markets

As expected, GDP growth rates are decreasing for Europe and the United States, while emerging markets continue to see strong economic growth and a rising middle class. According to World Bank data, growth in household consumption expenditures over the last five years to 2009 has averaged 7.7% in the BRICs compared to only 1.3% across the OECD members.

Despite a high level of market penetration within emerging markets, Avon continues to experience an increase in the number of representatives averaging 4% in 2010, including 8% in Latin America. The company currently employs about 6.5 million independent representatives globally. High rates of unemployment and a lower workforce participation rate by women provides a large supply of labor in emerging markets. Sales for the company are geographically diversified within North America (21%); Latin America (42%); Western Europe, Middle East, and Africa (13%); Central and Eastern Europe (15%), Asia/Pacific (7%), and China (2%).

Competitors

Industry sales have rebounded quickly from the recession, and both Estee Lauder (EL) and Elizabeth Arden (RDEN) have topped estimates with recent quarterly reports. The Personal Products industry trades for an average of 15.0 times trailing earnings per share. Revlon (REV) trades for 12.1 times its annualized average earnings per share over the last eight quarters while Estee Lauder trades for more than 33.6 times earnings.

Foreign Corrupt Practices Act

The Foreign Corrupt Practices Act of 1977 is a federal law primarily used to prosecute accounting transparency requirements under the SEC and bribery of foreign officials. Any U.S. or foreign corporation that has registered securities with the SEC can be prosecuted under the act. The Department of Justice (DOJ) boasts that 32 cases were prosecuted in 2010.

Legal Precedents

Though it is hard to estimate the final price effect on the stock from a settlement with the SEC and the Department of Justice, previous precedents can help put a range on possible settlement expenses. The online blog of the FCPA lists the top ten settlements under the act and details for each. These range from $800 million for Siemens (SI) in 2008 to $48.1 million for Royal Dutch Shell (RDS) in 2010. Most of these settlements include a large criminal fine along with a civil disgorgement of profits.

A more appropriate precedent may be available through the BAE Systems/Armor Holdings (BAESY.PK) settlement this year. The company was accused under both the anti-bribery and accounting provisions of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act for setting up a sham consulting agreement with a third party to bribe a U.N. official. The company cooperated with DOJ and SEC investigators and was able to reach a non-prosecution agreement for $5.7 million. This amount pales in comparison to some of the larger settlements, especially those including criminal fines, but reflects the level of cooperation involved in the case.

In light of this, Avon’s cooperation with the government’s investigation is particularly important. The company started an investigation into its Chinese operation’s compliance with the FCPA in 2008 and shortly thereafter voluntarily contacted the SEC and DOJ. Since that time, Avon has fully cooperated with the two bodies in the investigation. Note 5 of Avon’s most recent Consolidated Financial Statements (10-Q) describes the extent of the investigation with:

Compliance reviews are focused on reviewing certain expenses and books and records processes, including, but not limited to, travel, entertainment, gifts, use of third party vendors and consultants and related due diligence, joint ventures and acquisitions, and payments to third-party agents and others, in connection with our business dealings, directly or indirectly, with foreign governments and their employees.

This use of third party consultants in connection with foreign governments is similar to the investigation into Armor Holdings.

Trading in the shares had hovered around $30 for the two years prior to July 2011 but have since fallen 41.4% from their 52-week high. The stock plunged 18% on October 27th as the news was released of the SEC investigation. This loss from $23.01 to $18.52 wiped out nearly $1.9 billion of equity value in the shares. Given prior precedents, this loss of value seems grossly overstated. While a dollar estimate on a possible settlement is difficult, even the highest settlement to date ($800 million) would mean the shares are oversold by approximately $2.55 per share. The actual settlement will almost certainly be much less due to the company’s cooperation with officials.

Valuation

A return to the sector P/E average of around 15 times and forward earnings for the company of $1.80 would put the shares at $27.00 over the next year. This would still be significantly under the 52-week high of $30.33 on May 3rd. Standard & Poor’s has a twelve-month target of $21 on the stock. Barring some form of a buyout or acquisition, a more conservative estimate that puts the price-earnings ratio close to competitor Revlon would put the twelve-month target around $21.60 per share, a 16.8% increase over Friday’s close.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

Ready for a Social Media ETF?

It�s amazing how quickly Wall Street can throw together an exchange-traded fund.� This week, Global X launched the Social Media Index (NASDAQ:SOCL) ETF, which began trading Tuesday, although on very low volume.

That this ETF is coming from a company with �global� in its name is fitting: After all, the index would be sparse if it only comprised U.S.-based social media companies.� Only a handful of such operators have gone public over the past year, such as Groupon (Nasdaq:GRPN), Pandora (NYSE:P) and LinkedIn (NYSE:LNKD).

But more than one-third of the ETF�s portfolio includes Chinese based operators.� Some include Tencent Holdings and Sina (NASDAQ:SINA).

While social media is a global phenomenon, the Chinese market has seen several IPO disasters, such as Renren (Nasdaq:RENN).� A big reason has been intense competition, but there also have been questions about accounting.�

As other top social media companies come public � like Twitter, Zynga and Facebook � Global X will likely include them in the index.� But this will be done after the IPO.� In other words, investors of the ETF won�t get the first-day �pop.�

There seems to be little doubt that social media will continue to grow.� But is it really an asset class?� Probably not.� Besides, as seen with implosions of companies like MySpace, the risks are certainly great.

Social media should be a small part of a person�s portfolio as an opportunity to juice things up � but it should be done with lots of caution.

Insider Buys And Sells: Netflix Buys And NVR Sales

Welcome to edition 102 of Insider Weekends. Insider buying increased with insiders purchasing $148.9 million of their stock last week compared to $83.2 million in the week prior. Selling also increased with insiders selling $1.3 billion worth of stock last week compared to $844.3 million in the week prior.

Sell/Buy Ratio: The insider Sell/Buy ratio is calculated by dividing the total insider sales in a given week by total insider purchases that week. The adjusted ratio for last dropped down to 8.8. In other words, insiders sold nearly 9 times as much stock as they purchased. The Sell/Buy ratio this week compares favorably with the week prior when the ratio stood at 10.2. We are calculating an adjusted ratio by removing transactions by funds and companies and trying as best as possible only to retain information about insiders and 10% owners who are not funds or companies.

Insider buying has rebounded significantly and the Insider Sell/Buy ratio went from a peak of 174.2 to just 8.8 over a three week period. We wrote the following three weeks ago,

The adjusted ratio for last week shot up to 174.2. In other words, insiders sold more than 174 times as much stock as they purchased. The Sell/Buy ratio this week compares unfavorably with the week prior when the ratio stood at 25.1. Part of this big jump has to do with Bill Gates selling $385.4 million worth of Microsoft stock to most likely fund his foundation but even excluding that sale, the ratio would have been 125.5.

Interestingly, the last time the ratio was this high was almost a year ago on April 29, 2011 when the ratio spiked to 186.8. The S&P 500 dropped for six consecutive weeks from 1363.61 to 1270.98 following that spike.

The market has declined 7.7% over the last three weeks and it remains to be seen "if sell in May and go away" is going to work for a third year in a row.

Click to enlarge:

Insider Sell Buy Ratio May 18, 2012

Note: As mentioned in the first post in this series, certain industries have their preferred metrics such as same store sales for retailers, funds from operations (FFO) for REITs and revenue per available room (RevPAR) for hotels that provide a better basis for comparison than simple valuation metrics. However, metrics like Price/Earnings, Price/Sales and Enterprise Value/EBITDA included below should provide a good starting point for analyzing the majority of stocks.

Notable Insider Buys:

  • Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS): $5.21
  • Shares of this security & protection services provider were acquired by three insiders:

    • Director Bandel L. Carano acquired 11,000,000 shares, paying $5.00 per share for a total amount of $55 million. These shares were purchased indirectly through funds and as part of a stock offering by the company.

    • President & CEO Eric M. Demarco acquired 49,252 shares, paying $5.08 per share for a total amount of $249,999. Mr. Demarco increased his stake by 99.12% to 98,940 shares with this purchase.

    • Executive VP & CFO Deanna H. Lund acquired 10,000 shares, paying $4.99 per share for a total amount of $49,900. Mr. Lund increased his stake by 58.69% to 27,038 shares with this purchase.

    You can view the list of recent insider transactions for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. here.

    P/E: N/AForward P/E: 8.98Industry P/E: 17.82
    P/S: 0.33Price/Book: 0.54EV/EBITDA: 8.54
    Market Cap: $273.58MAvg. Daily Volume: 337,70652 Week Range: $4.61 - $12.42
  • Netflix, Inc. (NFLX): $69.96
  • Director Jay C. Hoag acquired 143,400 shares of Netflix, paying $73.06 per share for a total amount of $10.5 million. These shares were purchased indirectly through Technology Crossover Ventures.

    Following Mr. Hoag's purchase last week we wrote the following,

    Mr. Hoag is the founding member of venture capital firm Technology Crossover Partners, which manages $3.3 billion in assets. He has served as a director of Netflix since 1999 and has been a technology investor for over 29 years.

    You can view the list of recent insider transactions for Netflix, Inc. here.

    P/E: 23.68Forward P/E: 32.39Industry P/E: 42.75
    P/S: 1.19Price/Book: 6.02EV/EBITDA: 10.67
    Market Cap: $3.88BAvg. Daily Volume: 5,734,90052 Week Range: $62.37 - $304.79
  • Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc. (HALO): $7.9
  • Director Randal J. Kirk acquired 1,071,498 shares of this biotech company, paying $7.42 per share for a total amount of $7.95 million. These shares were purchased indirectly by Kapital Joe, LLC.

    You can view the list of recent insider transactions for Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc. here.

    P/E: N/AForward P/E: N/AIndustry P/E: 15.19
    P/S: 14.53Price/Book: 10.04EV/EBITDA: -30.16
    Market Cap: $849.95MAvg. Daily Volume: 1,090,13052 Week Range: $5.54 - $13.5
  • Continental Resources, Inc. (CLR): $71.31
  • CEO & Chairman Harold Hamm acquired 100,000 shares of this producer of crude oil and natural gas, paying $71.68 per share for a total amount of $7.2 million. Mr. Hamm increased his stake by 0.08% to 123,259,048 shares with this purchase.

    P/E: 20.24Forward P/E: 15.57Industry P/E: 15.56
    P/S: 6.67Price/Book: 5.35EV/EBITDA: 8.99
    Market Cap: $12.82BAvg. Daily Volume: 1,321,43052 Week Range: $42.43 - $97.19
  • Lime Energy Co. (LIME): $2.41
  • Director Richard P. Kiphart acquired 1,000,000 shares of this energy efficiency solutions provider, paying $2.55 per share for a total amount of $2.6 million. Mr. Kiphart increased his stake by 10.38% to 10,637,170 shares with this purchase.

    This was not an open market purchase but a direct sale by the company to Mr. Kiphart. The funds raised will be used for general corporate purposes. The company has managed to post double digit revenue growth over the last three years and also managed to eke out a small amount of free cash flow in Q4 2011. But for the most part, the company has been posting losses. The stock took a dive following Q1 results when it reported a wider than expected loss and revenue declined year-over-year in what is considered a seasonally slow quarter.

    The company signed four new multi-year contracts with utilities in the first quarter and currently has a backlog of $224 million (2011 annual revenue was $120 million). While things look bleak now, the company appears to be headed in the right direction and it would be worth keeping the Lime Energy on your radar in case the company manages to achieve sufficient scale to become consistently profitable. Given that this is a potential turnaround story, there is always the risk that Lime may end up turning into a lemon for investors.

    P/E: N/AForward P/E: 15.06Industry P/E: 13.02
    P/S: 0.49Price/Book: 1.41EV/EBITDA: -15.28
    Market Cap: $57.76MAvg. Daily Volume: 81,44952 Week Range: $2.41 - $5.53

    Notable Insider Sales:

  • Public Storage (PSA): $130.51
  • Chairman Emeritus Wayne B. Hughes sold 176,672 shares of this REIT for $138.9, generating $24.5 million from the sale. These shares were sold indirectly through a trust.

    P/E: 41.35Forward P/E: 19Industry P/E: 16.05
    P/S: 12.44Price/Book: 4.35EV/EBITDA: 21.41
    Market Cap: $22.38BAvg. Daily Volume: 817,20552 Week Range: $101.77 - $146.49
  • NVR Inc. (NVR): $765.71
  • Shares of this construction company were sold by 3 insiders:

    • Director Manuel H. Johnson sold 10,000 shares for $820.58, generating $8.2 million from the sale.

    • Chief Executive Officer Paul C. Saville sold 6,900 shares for $832.30, generating $5.7 million from the sale.

    • Chief Financial Officer Dennis M. Seremet sold 4,472 shares for $815.91, generating $3.6 million from the sale.

    P/E: 30.82Forward P/E: 15.31Industry P/E: 38.64
    P/S: 1.43Price/Book: 2.79EV/EBITDA: 14.24
    Market Cap: $3.88BAvg. Daily Volume: 35,37552 Week Range: $554.71 - $837.68
  • magicJack VocalTec Ltd. (CALL): $17.74
  • Chief Executive Officer Daniel Borislow sold 958,464 shares of this voice-over-IP telecommunication services provider for $14.97, generating $14.3 million from the sale.

    P/E: 89.6Forward P/E: 9.86Industry P/E: 28.32
    P/S: 3.17Price/Book: N/AEV/EBITDA: 116.22
    Market Cap: $358.90MAvg. Daily Volume: 514,16252 Week Range: $9.5 - $28.22
  • Priceline.com Incorporated (PCLN): $632.004
  • Shares of this online travel company were sold by three insiders:

    • Director Nancy B. Peretsman sold 7,000 shares for $671.20, generating $4.7 million from the sale.
    • President and CEO Jeffery H. Boyd sold 2,000 shares for $666.28, generating $1.3 million from the sale.

    • Head Worldwide Strategy & Planning Glenn D. Fogel sold 1,000 shares for $669.07, generating $669,068 from the sale.

    P/E: 28.58Forward P/E: 16.02Industry P/E: 29.19
    P/S: 7.01Price/Book: 12.4EV/EBITDA: 18.94
    Market Cap: $31.47BAvg. Daily Volume: 1,263,43052 Week Range: $411.26 - $774.96
  • F5 Networks, Inc. (FFIV): $112.712
  • President and CEO John McAdam sold 50,000 shares of this networking company for $124.93, generating $6.2 million from the sale.

    P/E: 34.26Forward P/E: 20.72Industry P/E: 27.78
    P/S: 7.3Price/Book: 7.56EV/EBITDA: 20.27
    Market Cap: $8.95BAvg. Daily Volume: 1,443,47052 Week Range: $69.01 - $139.46

    Disclosure: See author's portfolio holdings here.

    Euro Soars to 7-Month High Against Dollar

    NEW YORK (AP) -- Stronger manufacturing data from China is pushing the euro to a seven-month high against the dollar. Traders are also selling the dollar after a report showed that U.S. inflation is mild.

    Chinese manufacturing rose to a 14-month high in December, adding to signs the world's second-largest economy is recovering.

    In the U.S., the Labor Department said its consumer price index fell 0.3% in November from October, meaning that inflation is still mild. Traders took the data to mean that the Fed will continue to keep interest rates low to boost the economy.

    The euro rose as high as $1.3173 in afternoon trading Friday, its highest point against the dollar since May 4. The euro was worth $1.3075 late Thursday.

    link

    The Thrill of it All

    Have you ever been in the midst of a presentation to a potential client when they stopped you and told you there was no need to continue--he/she liked what you were saying and wanted to move forward with your service? If so, congratulations--you lit up your new client's pleasure pathway.

    In his article, "Playing it Safer," in the June issue of Wealth Manager, Andrew McElwee discusses from an insurance perspective how wealthy boomer clients seek diversion in the form of high-risk activities, and the opportunity that provides the advisor. McElwee opens a topic I have wanted to address for some time, but haven't known how to approach.

    What McElwee's observations reveal is that risk-taking gets riskier with age. While no one over age 45 will argue about the physical truth of that assertion, what isn't being talked about is that risk-taking behavior is driven by the continual quest for dopamine, the neurotransmitter that activates the pleasure centers of the brain. The same need that previously fueled the drive to achieve or attain their wealthy status is now causing high-net-worth individuals to seek new stimuli in order to supply the dopamine. Once the risk-taker's struggle to attain wealth is over and a level of non-sensational security is reached, new challenges must be created to fill the dopamine gap. If you wonder why you can't hold the wealthy risk-taker's attention as you talk about security, insurance, or moderating risk, it's probably because you are recommending the opposite of what that client craves most. He wants to be out on a limb.

    What is dopamine? Dopamine does two things: it allows you to focus in a linear fashion, and it's the pleasure chemical. Dopamine is the chemical that turns your brain on. Technically, it's a neurotransmitter that aids concentration and provides feelings of pleasure or well-being. You know that sense of well-being generated by a full stomach on Thanksgiving afternoon. That feeling of well-being is triggered by enhanced dopamine levels.

    How does it work? Imagine your own brain. The largest part of the brain is the cortex--sort of the brain's command center. There is a continuous stream of sensory information moving in and out of your cortex through the thalamus.

    Picture the brain's thalamus as a water faucet with a spigot. When the spigot is open, your thought process is activated. When the spigot is closed, your thinking is dulled. That spigot is controlled by dopamine.

    What also creates dopamine? Physical activity and movement are one way. Anxiety also creates dopamine.

    Why is dopamine important? People with genetically high levels of dopamine tend to be more passive and demonstrate less sensation- or novelty-seeking behavior; whereas, those whose dopamine levels are genetically low seek out greater stimulation. The current theory is that about 15% of the population is born with fewer dopamine receptor sites, and these people spend their entire lives unconsciously trying to create the brain chemical.

    This article will attempt to explain the connection between dopamine and your client's attitudes towards physical risk-taking or risk avoiding.

    "They think differently," says Jim Dobbs, president of Dobbs Wealth, LLC, in Golden, Colorado. Dobbs has noticed that he has difficulty working with creative wealthy, entrepreneurial type of individual who enjoyed taking big risk--one who, for instance, builds a successful business, then impulsively sells it for $50 million. "It's as if we don't speak the same language." Not surprising, really, since Dobbs' responsibility is to control risk.

    Instead, Dobbs tends to attract a certain kind of wealthy client--the highly analytical doctor, pathologist, or technical specialist (non-risk-takers)--who won't make a decision unless they've been given an abundance of information. Dobbs did admit that he'd like to know if there was anything he could do that would attract this other type of personality that seems to fit with the wealthy entrepreneur.

    Dopamine-Surplus

    People who exhibit the above characteristics are most often found in the following professions: financial advisors, managers, university professors, coaches, politicians, civil litigators, judges, CPAs, writers, economists, teachers, and software analysts.

    They need to analyze and comprehend the logic in each step before proceeding to the next. Of course, the majority of the population is located somewhere in the middle, having some traits found in each box.

    Dopamine-Starved

    People with a greater need for dopamine are most often found in professions that match their need for stimulation: entrepreneurs, emergency room physicians, astronauts, high profile attorneys, star athletes, undercover narcotics officers, Navy Seals, madcap comedians, convicts and some freelance writers.

    This type of person is normally classified as a thrill seeker who enjoys all forms of risk taking, from business building to bungee jumping, or mountain climbing--almost any sport or venture designed to create dopamine! Some of the richest people in the world are in this group.

    Case in point

    Pete is a big picture guy, a wealthy entrepreneur. Joe is a financial advisor who decided he might pick up a wealthy prospective client by being more active in his community, so he volunteered for a committee seat on a local charity. That was where he met Pete. They rarely agreed and complained that they found each other frustrating, but it was vital that they understood each other's point of view. Whenever they got together to make decisions, Pete was in a hurry, wanting to get a quick grasp of the situation and make decisions based on his gut feeling. Joe, on the other hand, liked to talk his ideas through in full. Typically, he would have a list of points that he wanted to discuss. Pete would quickly get frustrated with Joe and usually cut the meeting short. Their inability to reach a satisfactory conclusion resulted in Pete taking himself off the committee, and that was the last contact the two ever had.

    Pete and Joe were speaking a different language. Pete made decisions based on "gut feel." Joe had a very "auditor" way of communicating; he would "talk his ideas through" and have "points to discuss." They were using different senses to communicate, or rather try to communicate.The problem is that neither of them realizes they could benefit from the other because their behaviors are on the opposite sides of the spectrum. Read more on The Dopamine Connection.

    Unless you are aware of these differences, the relationship between these two personality types will be challenging and often conflicting. Pete may have great ideas and accurate business insights, but Pete "hits a wall" when he has to do all the follow-up details needed to maintain his great ideas. Why Pete fails at detail work is the exact opposite reason Joe is good at the details.

    Pete fails at tasks that don't create enough dopamine in order to hold his attention. No dopamine and time expands, which Pete experiences as painful--and avoids. On the other hand, Joe has a surplus of dopamine, and can spend hours focused on the paperwork and accomplish the tasks that Pete consider mundane or tedious.

    Joe could provide a stable and secure foundation, adding common sense, reason and practicality to Pete's ideas. Joe could handle all the details which would free up Pete to go out and hunt for more business. Hunting--for guys like Pete--compresses time and equals pleasure.

    The fact that Joe is not the risk-taking type makes him an excellent partner or advisor for Pete, our dopamine-starved entrepreneurial example. Two years ago, one of my friends, a well liked doctor in town suddenly gave up his family practice and went to work as a full-time emergency room physician. I saw him last Christmas and he told me that he was the happiest he has been in years. Why? Chaos, bedlam, and pandemonium all create dopamine.

    Being curious I wanted to see for myself, so I visited him at our local hospital. That night he saw: a woman in her last stage of labor; one stabbing; a motorcycle crash victim with two broken arms; and three drug overdoses. Then as I was about to leave, two ambulances arrived with sirens blaring and lights blazing. As they unloaded four car-crash victims, each person with progressively worse head wounds, cuts, puncture wounds, abrasions and assorted broken limbs, the room became frenzied and I figured this was a good time to make my exit. I turned to leave when my friend shouted my name: "Larry, see yah later!" He had a look on his face that is hard to explain--like he was in dopamine paradise. My doctor buddy got more dopamine in one night than most people could stand in a lifetime.

    It is almost always about dopamine!

    Larry Chambers (larry@lchambers.com), is president of Chambers & Associates, Ojai, California. He is the author of Credibility Marketing and Separate Account Management, among other works. His free e-book, How Not to Market, is available at www.AttractionBuilder.com.

    FOREX-Euro hits 3-week high, edges near resistance – Reuters

    Telegraph.co.ukFOREX-Euro hits 3-week high, edges near resistance
    Reuters
    TOKYO, June 1 (Reuters) – The euro rose to a three-week peak against the dollar on Wednesday, boosted by hopes for an agreement on Greek austerity steps and progress toward an aid package for the debt-hobbled …
    WORLD FOREX: Currency Markets Steady In Holiday Thinned TradingWall Street Journal
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    {forex} – Google News

    USD Heavily Overbought, Aussie To Benefit From Higher Employment

    By David Song, Currency Analyst

    DJ FXCM Dollar Index
    Index Last High Low Daily Change (%) Daily Range (% of ATR)
    DJ-FXCM Dollar Index 9790.6 9816.62 9666.73 1.20 141.82%
    The Dow Jones-FXCM U.S.Dollar Index (Ticker: USDollar) remains 1.20 percenthigher from the open after moving 142 percent of its average truerange, and the rebound from 9,454 may gather pace over theremainder of the week as the gauge finally clears resistance around9,800. As the shift away from risk-taking behavior gathers pace,the USD should continue to retrace the sharp reversal from 10,134,but we may see a short-term correction pan out over the next24-hours of trading as the greenback remains overbought. As the30-minute relative strength index falls back fromoverbought territory, we may see the reserve currency struggle tohold above 9,800, and the index may continue to face range-boundprice action over the near-term as market participants weigh thefundamental outlook for the global economy.As the USD continues totrade below the 50.0 percent Fibonacci retracement around 9,828, thenear-term rally may be coming to an end, but risk trends shouldcontinue to dictate price action for the major currencies as theeconomic docket remains fairly light for the rest of the week. Inturn, the developments coming out of the euro-area is likely toheavily influence the currency market, and the political shiftin Greece and Italy is poised to come underincreased scrutiny as European policy makers struggle to restoreinvestor confidence. As German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeublefloats the idea of Italy tapping the European Financial StabilityFacility, the heightening risk for contagion continues to dampenthe appeal of the single-currency, and we may see the EuropeanCentral Bank take additional steps to shore up the economy as theregion slips back into a recession. Indeed, there’sspeculation that the ECB will lower the benchmark interest rate to1.00% in December, but the Governing Council may have little choicebut to carry its easing cycle into 2012 as the downturn in growthcurbs the outlook for inflation. In turn, the EUR/USD looks poisedto extend the sharp reversal from 1.4246, and the euro may threatenthe rebound from 1.3145 as the fundamental outlook for Europe turnsincreasingly bleak.Three of the fourcomponents weakened against the greenback, led by a 1.84 percentdecline in the Australian dollar, but the high-yielding currencymay regain its footing over the next 24-hours of trading should thelabor report instill an improved outlook for the isle-nation.Australia is expected to add another 10.0K jobs in October followingthe 20.4K expansion in the previous month, and the data could sparka rebound in the AUD/USD as the data fosters a positive attitudefor future growth. However, market participants are looking foranother rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia according toCredit Suisse overnight index swaps, with investors pricing a 100percent chance for a 25bp rate cut at the next meeting on December6, and speculation for lower borrowing costs is likely to furtherweaken the high-yielding currency as the central bank turnsincreasingly cautious towards the economy. As a result, thereversal from 1.0752 should gather pace in the days ahead, and wemay see the exchange rate come up against the 38.2% Fib from the2010 low to the 2011 high around 0.9920-50 to test for near-termsupport.--- Written by David Song, Currency Analyst

    To contact David, e-mail dsong@dailyfx.com. Followme on Twitter at @DavidJSong

    To be added to David's e-mail distribution list,send an e-mail with subject line "Distribution List" todsong@dailyfx.com.Join us to discuss the outlook for the majorcurrencies on the DailyFX Forums DailyFX is the forex news and research arm of FXCM, Inc (NYSE: FXCM), which provides currency trading and brokerage services and is an advertiser on TheStreet websites. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, or other information is provided as general market commentary, and does not constitute investment advice. Dailyfx will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information. Currency trading involves significant risk of loss. Individual authors may hold positions in the currencies discussed in the article.

    Original Article: http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/us_dollar_index/daily_dollar/2011/11/09/USD_Heavily_Overbought_Aussie_To_Benefit_From_Higher_Employment.html

    >To order reprints of this article, click here: Reprints

    Molycorp and Cleveland BioLabs: Two Stocks I Would Not Want to Short

    AP Business Writer Francesca Levy published a good article on Sunday, which discusses the predictability of the stock market.

    In it, she points out that while the outcome of the escalating war in Libya is uncertain and the threat of severe nuclear contamination from a breached Japanese nuclear reactor still looms, the markets ended the week up.

    Investors are left wondering: what happened to all that headline-driven volatility from two weeks ago?

    In the article, Levy seems fairly certain that last week's rebound wasn't so surprising and that numbers suggest stocks will likely keep rising for the next few months.

    I hope she is right. I'm looking at the week ahead as a first test to her theory, especially since we may run into some resistance given the fact that some of the market indexes appear to be in dangerous "overbought" territory and in that situation the demand for certain assets unjustifiably pushes prices to levels that do not support the fundamentals.

    I have put together some charts which may help to visibly point this out for your reference:

    click to enlarge

    As I look back at the week, I find pleasure in seeing that my "technical breakout candidate," Molycorp (MCP) finally broke out of the wedge pattern it had been trading in since my original article in early March.

    Here is their most recent chart:

    Despite some of the doubt expressed by pundits like Jim Cramer of thestreet.com, this is a stock that should be trading much higher in the months ahead. I have spoken to other money managers who have had direct contact with management and they also believe that the company is the most well-equipped and well-planned rare-earth company in North America.

    Cramer, on March 7th, said the stock was trading too high and that it should be sold. Molycorp closed at $47.70 on that day.

    Again, on March 21st, Cramer reiterated his sell on Molycorp, saying “It's overvalued and I can't own an overvalued stock in this market." The stock has risen 14% higher since then.

    Cramer's own stockzine published an article stating that demand for the group of 17 metallic elements used in a growing number of consumer and industrial products will not only increase dramatically, but will also help re-build Japan. On Friday, the Wall Street Journal's James Areddy said a new tax on Chinese exports of rare earths might also signal Beijing’s intention to further build up its strategic rare earth reserves.

    In the U.S., several bi-partisan members of the House and Senate plan to file, or have already introduced, bills to build stockpiles of rare-earth elements and restart the relatively dormant U.S. industry, perhaps helped with loans or federal commitments to buy a domestic supply.

    Yet, some experts say the threat is overblown and that the government doesn’t have to do anything drastic.

    Either way, until either the perception or reality of the problem goes away, I see Molycorp continuing to climb. This is especially true since the prices being paid for some of the minerals which the company is already actually mining continues to rise. Also, as long as plans announced from the Chinese government continue to drive up rare element prices, there is no reason to be caught short on this stock.

    Another stock I would not want to get caught short on during the days and weeks ahead is Cleveland Biolabs. [Note: see my related article about Cleveland Biolabs (CBLI) which I published before their recent spike-up].

    Despite the fact that another writer with an aggressively negative attitude at thestreet.com fails to see how Cleveland BioLabs will fare any better than Hollis-Eden Pharmaceuticals, the truth is that various agencies within the U.S. Government have already spent over $77 million helping to develop the company's anti-radiation drug (see this slide from a recent company presentation and Seeking Alpha article).

    While thestreet.com writer correctly points out that in 2007 the U.S. government canceled its contracts with Hollis-Eden, he fails to point out that the reason for those cancellations was because Cleveland Biolabs's drug proved to be far superior to several others still in development. In addition, despite not spending money on lobbying efforts like Hollis-Eden did, the company is anticipating another injection of $50+ million the Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority (BARDA). That pending grant may total more than all previous grants and government contracts combined.

    Whether or not the company will see its CBLB502 drug used by the Japanese during clean-up or containment efforts remains to be seen, of course, I find it interesting that the U.S. military has now been called in to help now that Japanese officials suspect a breach in one or more of the stricken Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plants.

    The U.S. Navy is now sending barges loaded with 500,000 gallons of fresh water to nearby Onahama Bay so that water injections can begin in the next few days, the Associated Press is reporting. That could set the table for use of the drug by U.S. soldiers exposed to high radiation, for even if the Japanese choose not to approve emergency use of Cleveland's late-stage drug candidate on their own people, no one in the U.S. would stand to see their own soldiers suffer life-threatening exposure to high radiation doses knowing that Cleveland's drug exists and that the U.S. has spent millions helping to develop it just for this type of scenario.

    To me, the call for help from the U.S. military also underscored the pressures Japanese officials and Tepco executives are facing as they have been criticized for not providing information or acting to help protect workers in a timely fashion.

    Given all of that, I fail to see how CBLI is anything but a "buy" here, especially after the pull back from their recent spike.

    Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, but may initiate a long position in MCP, CBLI over the next 72 hours.

    Top Stocks To Buy For 12/3/2012-5

    Fifth Third Bancorp NASDAQ:FITB declined 1.43% closed at $12.38, its overall trading volume was 15.15 million shares during the last session. The price to earning ratio remained $142.73 while net profit margin reached 5.12%.

    Hudson City Bancorp, Inc. NASDAQ:HCBK reported the fall of 0.86% closed at $11.54, its total trading volume was 3.21 million shares during the last session. The price to earning ratio remained $10.31 while net profit margin reached 40.25%.

    American Capital Ltd. NASDAQ:ACAS dropped 1.72% closed at $6.86, its overall trading volume was 3.21 million shares during the last session. The price to earning ratio remained $3.04 while net profit margin reached 96.31%.

    Fulton Financial Corp. NASDAQ:FULT declined 4.39% closed at $8.93, its total trading volume was 1.95 million shares during the last session. The price to earning ratio remained $16.71 while net profit margin reached 16.68%.

    First Niagara Financial Group Inc. NASDAQ:FNFG declined 0.08% closed at $11.84, its overall trading volume was 1.76 million shares during the last session. The price to earning ratio remained $18.82 while net profit margin reached 17.35%.