Refiners like Phillips 66 (PSX), Valero Energy (VLO), Holly Frontier (HFC), Marathon Petroleum (MPC) and Tesoro (TSO) had a painful start to the year. The pain might be about to turn to gain, according to Barclays.
Bloomberg News Barclays’ Paul Cheng explains why:
While the US refining industry has seen headwinds with the narrowing Brent-LLS differential, we continue to believe the US refining segment will rank among the market's best-performing groups over the next 1-2 years…
We believe that the narrow LLS-Brent differential during the past two months has primarily been the result of poor weather affecting both production and the logistics necessary to transport the production to refineries…
Cheng says investors should overweight the entire US refining industry, but is particularly fond of Valero Energy, which is “best positioned to take advantage of the changing Gulf Coast crude oil landscape,” and Tesoro, when “investors start to shift their focus to relative underperformers within the refining sector.”
Shares of Valero Energy have gained 0.4% to $54.45, while Tesoro has dropped 0.7% to $52.85, so I guess investors aren’t ready for the underperformers yet. Phillips 66 has risen 0.7% to$79.23, Holly Frontier has dipped 0.1% to $49.71 and Marathon Petroleum has ticked down 0.1% to $93.93.
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