If there is a reason I hear a lot for investing in IBM (IBM) nowadays, it is the popular 'argument from authority' fallacy: "Warren Buffett owns 67 million shares. Therefore I should own the stock."
This is illogical. Although we all recognize that he is the best in the field, it is not true that Buffett always makes good investments. It is also a contradiction. Believing in Buffett this time would be against the number 1 Buffett rule of investment: never lose money. The decline in the share price since the disappointing first quarter revenue report has caused a paper net loss of more than $1B (assuming no shares have been sold recently).
I'm not going to pay attention to the amount Buffett owns at this time. In what follows I am going to develop a bear case for avoiding IBM this year, even now that it is trading at a great discount to its 52-weeks high.
10 Best Warren Buffett Stocks To Buy For 2014: Thai Beverage Public Co Ltd (Y92.SI)
Thai Beverage Public Company Limited engages in the production and distribution of alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages in Thailand and internationally. It provides beer products; spirits products, including brown spirits, white spirits, herb spirits, and others; and non-alcoholic beverages comprising drinking water, soda, electrolyte beverages, energy drinks, greentea, ready-to-drink coffee, and fruit juices. The company also engages in the manufacture and marketing of light construction bricks and fertilizers; and animal feed, and supplementary animal feed products. In addition, it is involved in the operation of Japanese restaurants and bakery shops. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand.
10 Best Warren Buffett Stocks To Buy For 2014: ABB Ltd(ABB)
ABB Ltd. provides power and automation technologies for utility and industrial customers worldwide. The company?s Power Products division manufactures and sells high- and medium-voltage switchgear and apparatus, circuit breakers, power and distribution transformers, and sensors. ABB?s Power Systems division provides integrated power and automation solutions for power generation plants; alternating current (AC) and direct current (DC) transmission systems; and flexible alternating current systems technologies. It also offers land and submarine cables, as well as accessories and services for medium- to high-voltage AC and DC systems; air- and gas-insulated substations; and network management solutions to help manage power networks. In addition, this division offers support agreements and retrofits to spare parts, service, consulting, and training; and undertakes analyses and design of new transmission and distribution systems. The company?s Discrete Automation and Motion div ision manufactures and sells motors, generators, variable speed drives, programmable logic controllers, rectifiers, excitation systems, robotics, and related services for a range of applications in factory automation, process industries, and utilities. Its Low Voltage Products division provides protection, control, and measurement for electrical installations, enclosures, switchboards, electronics, and electromechanical devices for industrial machines, plants, and related services. It also makes building control systems for home and building automation. The company?s Process Automation division offers integrated process control and instrumentation systems, plant electrification systems, information management systems, and industry-specific application knowledge for industries, such as pulp and paper, minerals and mining, metals, chemicals and pharmaceuticals, oil and gas, turbocharging, power, and marine. ABB Ltd. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerla nd.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Matthews]
ABB Ltd. (NYSE:ABB): Change 0% to $16.77. ABB Limited provides power and automation technologies. The Company operates under segments that include power products, power systems, automation products, process automation and robotics.
Top Stocks To Buy Right Now: A. Schulman Inc.(SHLM)
A. Schulman, Inc. supplies plastic compounds and resins for packaging, consumer products, industrial, and automotive applications. The company offers additive compounds, custom color concentrates for film and molding, carbon black color concentrates, white color concentrates, additive compounds for polyester resins and special pearl effects, antistatic concentrates, and masterbatch for the production of synthetic paper. Its products also include engineered plastics, such as thermoplastic elastomers and vulcanizates, filled and unfilled nylon and PBT compounds, nylon/ABS alloys, formulated ionomer compounds, thermoplastic ionomer resins, flame-retardant thermoplastic compounds and concentrates, polypropylene, polyethylene, EVA compounds, thermoplastic olefins, flexible thermoplastic PVC compounds, high-quality PVC compounds, PVC-based thermoplastic elastomers, and low-gloss PVC thermoplastic elastomers for industrial packaging, appliances, electrical connectors, power tools , recreational items, and lawn and garden equipments. In addition, the company provides custom color and specialty compound powders, rotational molding process compounds, cross-linkable resin used in rotational molding, high heat-distortion temperature materials, and thermoplastic powders, as well as provides jet milling services used for products requiring very fine particle size, such as additives for printing ink, adhesives, waxes, and cosmetics; and cryogenic milling services for heat sensitive materials. Further, it buys, repackages, and re-sells polymers for various processing types comprising injection molding, blow molding, thermoforming, and extrusion, as well as provides tolling services. The company operates in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia Pacific. A. Schulman, Inc. was founded in 1928 and is headquartered in Akron, Ohio.
10 Best Warren Buffett Stocks To Buy For 2014: MIPS Technologies Inc.(MIPS)
MIPS Technologies, Inc. provides industry-standard processor architectures and cores for digital home, networking, and mobile applications primarily in the United States, Japan, the Pacific Rim, and Europe. The company licenses embedded processor intellectual property in the form of architectures and implementations. It develops and licenses industry-standard MIPS32 and MIPS64 instruction-set architectures, application specific extensions, core designs in synthesizable and process-optimized forms, and other related intellectual property to semiconductor companies and system original equipment manufacturers. The company also offers various embedded processors that scale across various markets in standard, custom, semi-custom, and application-specific products; and MIPS-Based Systems on Chips for embedded systems. Its technology is used in digital televisions, set-top boxes, Blu-ray players, broadband customer premises equipment, WiFi access points and routers, networking in frastructure and portable/mobile communications, and entertainment products. MIPS Technologies, Inc. owns approximately 580 patent properties worldwide on various aspects of its technology. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California.
10 Best Warren Buffett Stocks To Buy For 2014: Cloud Peak Energy Inc(CLD)
Cloud Peak Energy Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in coal mining operations in the Powder River Basin of the United States. It produces sub-bituminous steam coal with low sulfur content for electric utilities and industrial customers. The company owns and operates Antelope surface coal mine located to the south of Gillette, Wyoming; the Cordero Rojo surface coal mine located to the south of Gillette, Wyoming; and the Spring Creek surface coal mine located in Montana. It also owns a 50% interest in the Decker surface coal mine located in Montana. As of December 31, 2010, it had approximately 970 million tons of proven and probable reserves. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Gillette, Wyoming.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By seekingalpha.com]
The third-largest coal producer in the United States, the company has approximately 970 million tons of proven and probable reserves. It supplies its product to electricity utilities.
Shares are trading at $20.06 at the time of writing, compared to their 52-week trading range of $14.77 to $24.69. At the current market price, the company is capitalized at $1.07 billion. Earnings per share for the last fiscal year were $2.07, placing the shares on a PE ratio of 9.69. It paid no dividend last year.These earnings are expected to dip through the next couple of years, retreating to $1.79 this year, before rising to $2.11 the following year as economic constraints take hold, and the search for cleaner energy continues.
When compared to its sector, its price-to-earnings ratio is one of the lowest, and below the average of 12.42. Though the third largest of the coal production companies in the United States, it is far smaller than its main competitors, Arch (ACI) and Peabody (BTU). This could give it the agility it will need to succeed in the coming years. Its operating margin of 16.07% is better than Arch, and this is an indicator of a management that has the company cost structure under control. Expect the shares to outperform those of its major rivals through the next 24 months.
10 Best Warren Buffett Stocks To Buy For 2014: China Southern Airlines Company Limited(ZNH)
China Southern Airlines Company Limited provides commercial airline services in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and internationally. It principally engages in the provision of passenger, air cargo, and mail airline services. The company also offers logistics services; air catering services; property management services; aircraft and engine repair and maintenance services; pilot training services; flight simulation services; and airport ground services. As of December 31, 2010, it had a fleet of 422 aircraft, as well as a network reaching 898 destinations connecting 169 countries and regions, and cities worldwide. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People?s Republic of China. China Southern Airlines Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of China Southern Air Holding Company.
10 Best Warren Buffett Stocks To Buy For 2014: GRAVITY Co. Ltd.(GRVY)
Gravity Co., Ltd. engages in the development and publishing of online games in Japan, Taiwan, Brazil, the Philippines, Indonesia, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, and the Russian Federation. It offers massively multiplayer online role playing games, casual online games, social network games, mobile games, and animation and character-based merchandise, as well as multiplatform and Internet protocol television games. The company?s principal product includes Ragnarok Online, an action adventure-based multiplayer online role playing game that combines cartoon-like characters, community-oriented themes, and combat features enabling various players to interact with one another. Its other multiplayer online role playing games comprise R.O.S.E. Online, Requiem, and Emil Chronicle Online. The company also licenses the merchandizing rights of character-related products based on its online games. In addition, it provides the animation series of Ragnarok Online in DVD and video on dema nd formats, as well as broadcasts these series on televisions. Further, the company, along with its licensees, markets dolls, stationery, and other character-based merchandise, as well as game manuals, monthly magazines, and other publications. Additionally, it offers Pororo Game, an Internet protocol television game. The company was founded in 2000 and is based in Seoul, Korea. As of December 31, 2010, Gravity Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of GungHo Online Entertainment, Inc.
10 Best Warren Buffett Stocks To Buy For 2014: Progress Software Corporation(PRGS)
Progress Software Corporation operates as an enterprise software company worldwide. Its products include Progress OpenEdge platform, which offers development tools, application servers, application management tools, and an embedded database; Progress Orbix to address enterprise integration problems with standards-based solutions; and Progress ObjectStore, an object data management system to store data faster than relational database management system or file-based storage system. The company?s products also comprise Progress Responsiveness Process Management suite for business users; Progress Control Tower, an interactive business control panel; Progress Sonic, which comprises an enterprise messaging system and the enterprise service buses; Progress Actional that provides operational and business visibility, root cause analysis, and policy-based security and control of services; Progress Apama, which offers tools for creating, testing, and deploying strategies for applicat ions, including algorithmic trading, market aggregation, smart order routing, market surveillance and monitoring, and risk management; Progress Savvion BusinessManager, a business process management software; and Fuse products that provide customers with access to professional open source integration and messaging software. In addition, it offers Progress DataDirect Connect products, which provide data connectivity components; Progress DataDirect Shadow to provide foundation architecture for standards-based mainframe integration; and Progress Data Services product set that offers data integration for distributed applications. Further, the company provides maintenance, consulting, training, and customer support services. Progress Software Corporation sells its products to independent software vendors, original equipment manufacturers, and system integrators through direct sales force and independent distributors. The company was founded in 1981 and is based in Bedford, Massac husetts.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Chris Stuart]
Progress Software(PRGS) recently cut its outlook for the fiscal second quarter ended in May, saying execution problems at its EDS (enterprise data solutions) segment would lead to a shortfall.
Mark Schappel from Benchmark Securities (which rates Progress a "buy" with a $31 target) says the shortfall is a speed bump in the company's ongoing transformation, and not a sign of a slump in infrastructure spending.
TheStreet Ratings has a $34 price target on Progress Software.
10 Best Warren Buffett Stocks To Buy For 2014: Goldcorp Incorporated(GG)
Goldcorp Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of precious metal properties in Canada, the United States, Mexico, and Central and South America. It produces and sells gold, silver, copper, lead, and zinc. The company was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Christopher Barker]
Every ship needs an anchor, and for gold investors looking to navigate the admittedly rough seas of the gold mining industry, I can think of no greater anchor than Goldcorp. With the important caveat that some of the company's substantial challenges faced during 2012 could present further selling pressure in early 2013 as forward production guidance takes a bit of a haircut, I agree with Credit Suisse analyst Anita Soni that any such weakness may present a meaningful buying opportunity. I won't go into great detail here, since investors can access my premium research report on Goldcorp for further discussion of the substantial long-term investment opportunity in the shares of this quality producer.
- [By Smith]
Although its name does little to denote this, Goldcorp is a well-positioned silver play for 2011, according to the analysts we surveyed.
“The name is one that people tend to think of it as gold, but it's in the top 20 of silver producers globally with about 13 million ounces a year ,” says Peter Sorrentino of Huntington Funds.
Morningstar analyst Min Tang-Varner recently raised her fair value estimate for Goldcorp by $12 a share to $48 after the company reported a 28 per cent rise in revenue for the third quarter ended Sept. 30 compared with the year before.
This, despite 4 per cent decline gold production, as revenue received a boost from $1,239/oz realized gold prices and $19.15/oz silver prices.
Tang-Varner tells investors that the reduction of Goldcorp's cash cost by $100/oz from the prior quarter to $260/oz due to higher silver, copper and zinc production and the run-up in their prices, was “rather extraordinary.”
Sorrentino says Goldcorp is a stock that investors would be “wise to consider” if they were looking for a name that would be discovered suddenly as a major silver play, without feeling that they were overpaying for it.
Goldcorp also prices everything that it does in Canadian dollars, which should reduce currency risks for investors in Canada.
- [By Rahemtulla]
Headquartered in the Olympic venue of Vancouver, GoldCorp (GG)
is one of the largest precious-metal mining companies in the world. GG operates mainly in Canada and South America, and produces more than 2.3 million ounces of gold annually, and has about 45 million ounces in proved and probable reserves. But don’t be fooled by the name — GoldCorp also owns 1.2 billion ounces of proved and probable silver reserves and 1.4 billion pounds of copper reserves.Every investor is aware of gold’s record run recently, but that’s just one reason I’m bullish on GG. Silver and copper prices
have been on a tear lately, and the diverse mining operations of GoldCorp make it a great investment right now no matter what happens with gold. - [By Mel Daris]
Goldcorp (GG), from Vancouver, has mines from Canada down to Argentina. Its stock trades for $40 and its dividend yields 1.30%. Its P/E is a pricey 18.33. Goldcorp had net income $1.6 billion and negative cash flow of $300 million. Its net tangible assets have grown from -$2.4 billion in 2009 to nearly $20 billion last year. The miner produced 2.51 million ounces of gold last year and expects to produce more than 2.60 million ounces this year at a target of $1,600 per ounce. Cost will range from $250 to $600 per ounce. Goldcorp is targeting 70% growth by 2016.
10 Best Warren Buffett Stocks To Buy For 2014: Catalyst Pharmaceutical Partners Inc.(CPRX)
Catalyst Pharmaceutical Partners, Inc., a development-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of prescription drugs targeting diseases of the central nervous system with a focus on the treatment of drug addiction and epilepsy. It is evaluating its lead product candidate, CPP-109, a GABA aminotransferase inhibitor candidate, which is under Phase II(b) clinical trial for the treatment of cocaine addiction, as well as focuses on evaluating CPP-109 for the treatment of other addictions and obsessive-compulsive disorders. The company is also developing CPP-115, a GABA aminotransferase inhibitor for various indications, including drug addiction, epilepsy, and for other selected central nervous disease indications. It has license agreements with Brookhaven Science Associates, LLC on various patents and patent applications relating to the use of vigabatrin as a treatment for cocaine and other addictions, and obsessive-compulsive disorders; and with Northwestern University to commercialize GABA aminotransferase inhibitors worldwide, as well as a definitive clinical trial agreement with the National Institute on Drug Abuse to jointly conduct a U.S. Phase II(b) clinical trial evaluating CPP-109 for the treatment of cocaine addiction. Catalyst Pharmaceutical Partners, Inc. was founded in 2002 and is based in Coral Gables, Florida.
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